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Capital flow drill-down

Money in, revenue out — the full breakdown.

Issue 09 · Week 25 of 2026.

The four-category capital scorecard expanded with named transactions, burn-to-revenue context, and a per-category trend across recent issues. Each row corresponds to a row in the summary table on the issue page.

Category

Frontier Labs.

OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, xAI

Capital in

~$95B

vs ~$95B

Revenue out

~$21B

vs ~$21B

Burn / rev

~1.3x

Lower means more capital out than in.

The read

Frontier-lab capital was quiet in-window. No new mega-round priced, and both OpenAI (Jun 8) and Anthropic (Jun 1) remain at the confidential-draft-S-1 stage with nothing publicly visible on EDGAR. The competitive pressure this week came from the open-weight side — GLM-5.2's MIT release at ~1/6 the cost of comparable frontier models — rather than from new financing. Treat this row as capital already committed; the next regime change is a public S-1.

This week’s transactions

  • Jun 15-21

    No new frontier-lab round; OpenAI and Anthropic S-1s remain confidential drafts

    CNBC; OpenAI; Anthropic

    No public S-1

Trend across recent issues

W18W19W20W21W22W23W24W25
Capital inRevenue out/$B per issue

Category

Hyperscaler-Hosted.

Azure-OpenAI, AWS-Anthropic, Google Cloud-Gemini, Oracle-OCI

Capital in

~$187B

vs ~$185B

Revenue out

~$62B

vs ~$62B

Burn / rev

~0.3x

Lower means more capital out than in.

The read

Hyperscaler build-out continued with two incremental campus commitments — Amazon's $10B Montgomery County, MO site and Google's $1.5B Jackson County, AL expansion — both framed around paying full interconnection cost so ratepayers are not burdened. That framing is now standard messaging under FERC's cost-shift scrutiny. The aggregate ~$725-805B 2026 capex guide is carried flat (no new top-4 print in-window); these are demand-led capacity adds, not a strategy change.

This week’s transactions

  • Jun 15

    Amazon $10B data-center campus, Montgomery County, MO (pays 100% interconnection)

    Missouri DED

    $10B
  • Jun 16

    Google $1.5B Jackson County, AL expansion (>300MW contracted, Kairos SMR partner)

    Alabama Reporter

    $1.5B

Trend across recent issues

W18W19W20W21W22W23W24W25
Capital inRevenue out/$B per issue

Category

Neoclouds.

CoreWeave, Nscale, Crusoe, Lambda, Fluidstack, IREN

Capital in

~$12B

vs ~$12B

Revenue out

~$5B

vs ~$5B

Burn / rev

~3x

Lower means more capital out than in.

The read

The neocloud row held flat on fresh capital but the backlog signal firmed: company-adjacent reporting puts CoreWeave's backlog at ~$100B as of mid-June (vs the $99.4B Q1 figure), with Cantor Fitzgerald modeling ~$131B by end-Q2 — analyst-estimated, not company-guided. Meta's reported ~1.6GW Crusoe deal (Childress TX + Warrenton MO) remained unconfirmed with both parties declining comment. Operators should keep weighting conversion velocity over headline backlog.

This week’s transactions

  • Jun 15

    CoreWeave backlog ~$100B (Cantor estimate ~$131B by end-Q2)

    Inc. / Barron's (Cantor estimate)

    ~$100B (est. ~$131B)
  • Jun 18

    Meta–Crusoe ~1.6GW (reported, unconfirmed; both declined comment)

    Bloomberg

    ~1.6GW (reported)

Trend across recent issues

W18W19W20W21W22W23W24W25
Capital inRevenue out/$B per issue

Category

On-Prem / Hybrid.

Enterprise GPU clusters, sovereign and national programs, Cisco / Dell / HPE

Capital in

~$94B

vs ~$93B

Revenue out

~$36B

vs ~$36B

Burn / rev

~2x

Lower means more capital out than in.

The read

The on-prem/sovereign row is increasingly a power-and-permitting story. FERC's Jun 18 orders force every major RTO/ISO to rewrite large-load interconnection within 60 days, while developers keep building their own generation — Cummins will supply 2GW of behind-the-meter gas to Circe's West Texas campuses, bypassing the ERCOT queue. In Europe, TensorX and Solstice lined up an up-to-$1B GPU/data-center financing facility (capacity, not a drawn commitment). Sovereign and on-prem buyers should assemble firm power and permitting before announcing GPU counts.

This week’s transactions

  • Jun 18

    FERC issues six Section 206 show-cause orders rewriting large-load interconnection

    FERC; Day Pitney

    All US RTOs/ISOs (60-day clock)
  • Jun 16

    Cummins to supply 2GW behind-the-meter gas to Circe Energy (West Texas)

    mgrid

    2GW BTM

Trend across recent issues

W18W19W20W21W22W23W24W25
Capital inRevenue out/$B per issue

Methodology

Capital-in and revenue-out figures are quarterly or annualized as noted in the row, sourced from public earnings disclosures, SEC filings, and lab and vendor announcements. Burn-to-Revenue is revenue divided by committed capital. The trend chart shows up to eight prior issues. Data is updated weekly; revisions in future issues do not retroactively edit this one.

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