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80% · miss

At least one RTO/ISO files a large-load interconnection compliance proposal answering FERC's Jun 18 show-cause orders by the August 17, 2026 deadline.

Outcome

misscalled at 80%resolved September 1, 2026brier contribution 0.640timing-slip

All six RTOs/ISOs sought ~90-day abeyances instead of filing substantive large-load interconnection compliance proposals by the Aug 17 show-cause deadline; July 20 informational reports do not satisfy the trigger's compliance-proposal bar.

Evidence: https://mgrid.org/2026/08/13/all-six-grid-operators-ask-ferc-for-90-more-days-on-large-load-rules-pushing-filings-to-november-16/