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As of June 6, 2026

The AI Shockwave Timeline.

The handful of moments that changed the rules of AI — and what each one set in motion.

Most AI news is incremental. This view tracks the exceptions: the shocks that reset what people assumed was possible — how cheap intelligence could get, how much a model could reason, or where the real bottleneck moved. Each one shows a simple before and after, and a click opens the full story. Refreshed with the weekly industry update.

Frontier deltas, 2024 → 2026

Context window

0M
from 32K

Gemini 1.5 → DeepSeek-V4

Reasoning · AIME 2024

0.0%
from 13.4%

GPT-4o → o1 → DeepSeek-R1

Inference token cost

0.0×
from

Blackwell → Rubin (reported)

KV cache footprint

0%
from 100%

DeepSeek-V2 → V4 @1M

15

Shocks

9

High-magnitude

5

Archetypes

2024-02 → 2026-05

Span

How to read this

Each marker is a moment that changed what people thought AI could do.

Bigger ripple = bigger shift. The number under it is the headline change.

Color = type of change (cost, reasoning, context, openness, plumbing). Shape = layer.

Click any marker for the plain-English story: before, after, and what it triggered.

Click a shock to trace its downstream impact

Archetype
Layer
Magnitude
All shocks
HHardwareSSoftwareNNetworking202420252026SGemini 1.531xHNVIDIA Blackwell & …30xSDeepSeek-V2-93.3%SGPT-4o~9x fasterSLlama 3.1 405Bfirst frontie…SOpenAI o1+61 ptsNModel Context Proto…one open prot…SDeepSeek-V32.788M H800 G…SDeepSeek-R179.8%SClaude 3.7 Sonnetuser-controll…NAgent2Agent Protocolvendor-neutra…HNVLink Fusioncustom CPU/AS…HNVIDIA Rubin & Vera…10x lowerSDeepSeek-V4 Preview8xSClaude Opus 4.84x fewer
Archetype (color)
EfficiencyReasoningContext & interfaceOpen-frontierInteroperability & network
Layer (shape)
H · HardwareS · SoftwareN · Networking & protocol
Magnitude (ripple)
HighMedium

Methodology.

  • A shock resets an assumption. Inclusion requires that an event materially changed capability per unit of compute, reasoning at inference time, or where the system bottleneck lives — not merely that it topped a benchmark.
  • Impact as before → after. Every shock carries one to three deltas across capability, economics, and systems, with exactly one headline. Improvements read green; the arrow shows whether the metric went up or down.
  • Five archetypes, three layers. Color encodes archetype (efficiency, reasoning, context, open-frontier, interoperability); node shape encodes layer (hardware, software, networking); ripple size encodes magnitude.
  • Reported metrics, labeled. Figures are official vendor-reported numbers unless independently reproduced. Forward-dated or preview items carry lower confidence.
  • Curated, not exhaustive. The timeline captures the largest cross-layer inflection points defensible with primary English-language sources. As of June 6, 2026; reviewed and refreshed with each weekly industry update.

AI-readable exports.

Companions

Reset. Ripple. Repeat.